Friday, June 04, 2004

IS THE OPPOSITION REALLY AN OPPOSITION, OR JUST ANOTHER TOOL FOR KOCHARIAN TO EXTEND HIS STAY IN POWER?

In the last few months, there has been quite a few attempts to force President Kocharian to resign by a group call “The Opposition”.

Kocharian in return has violated this groups constitutional rights and deemed them “the barking dogs you encounter on a caravan,” and recently compared their rallies to “Brazilian soap operas.”

So who is the opposition and are they in fact barking dogs and their rallies like Brazilian soaps?

Well the way it seems to be playing out, Kocharian could not have asked for a better “opposition” so he could manipulate things to extend his stay in power.

To date, “The Opposition” has had too many rallies, made lots of promises that they have not fulfilled and for the most part, people are tired of hearing the same things said over and over again. On top of this, their platform is clear as day, get rid of Kocharian so they can rise to power. For this, a good part of the population feel that there really is no alternative to Kocharian at this time and for that reason, the rallies are not attracting the crowds they should.

In terms of staying in power for Kocharian, the opposition is a good thing. A distraction from the reality of the problems Armenia is facing and in a way, a delay mechanism for Kocharian to prevent what will one day happen to him once people really wake up to the reality of what he has done and the mess he is creating for the country.

What is the future of the opposition? I’m guessing nothing other than continue to badmouth Kocharian and cry foul. Yes, I will give them credit for pushing the issue of a clearly illegally run election that allowed Kocharian to stay in power, but even that will most probably be forgotten over time since they have waited too long to act, following that unfortunate event.

And what is the future of Armenia? It’s very hard to tell. At some point I hope the majority of the people who are sitting back and waiting to see what the “opposition” will accomplish, will organize (if they are not already doing so) and at that point, Kocharian can try all he wants to suppress these people, but in the end he and all his April Fools Day committees will become null and void and only at that point will we really see that things are changing in Armenia, hopefully for the better.

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