Friday, August 03, 2007


Hakob Badalyan

Lragir, Armenia
Aug 1 2007

An interesting situation has occurred in Armenia. Everyone or almost everyone is waiting for the upcoming presidential election but at the same time everyone or almost everyone is sure that Serge Sargsyan will win the election. The opinions about the ways of winning the victory are certainly different. Some people think Serge Sargsyan will win through electoral fraud, even though it will be improved to perfection. Others think Serge Sargsyan will win thanks to the indifference of the society and inability of the opposition. Yet others think the society will vote for Serge Sargsyan on seeing how caringly he treats the citizens as a prime minister.

Perhaps the only person who is not so confident of Serge Sargsyan's victory is Serge Sargsyan himself. If he were convinced, no doubt he would not try to appear as a public figure who often meets with different groups of the public freely, discusses their problems with them, promises to solve their problems. When one follows these meetings, it is impossible not to notice that these meetings make Serge Sargsyan feel uneasy. The figure who implemented his part of government in the shadow for so many years and never was a public figure now has to go on the stage. And the only reason is that he is not quite confident of his victory.

In addition, not only he is unconfident but he also thinks that this election will not be possible to make through the "traditional" methods used in all the previous elections. And if the "traditional" methods were reliable, the prime minister would not try to resist to his psychological state and would not have to transform a shadow
manager into a public leader. For these psychological torment affects the physical health of a person too. In the long run, the meetings with the society do not have a major effect on the efficiency of Serge Sargsyan the prime minister. Maybe he would work with equal efficiency if he had fewer meetings with citizens. However, the upcoming election requires being closer to the society, which allows supposing that the prime minister nevertheless acknowledges that the importance of the society in the presidential election will certainly be greater than it was in the parliamentary election.

The problem is, however, that no one else besides Serge Sargsyan acknowledges this reality. Not only they do not acknowledge but also they are sure that the society will not determine anything, and there will be no need because everything has been decided. For instance, what is the quest for the common candidate of the opposition? It means the opposition is already looking for justification of their defeat because in the end they can say that someone from among the united was a provocateur and thwarted the plan. Certainly, with the common candidate the opposition stands a bigger chance to win but when the opposition states either a common candidate or an imminent defeat, it thereby displays its narrow political mind and inability
for anything else.

In this situation when Serge Sargsyan's political opponents are thinking about justification of their defeat rather than the mechanisms of victory, perhaps the prime minister need not think about winning over the society possibly fast and possibly more. Even there is no need to think up new slogans for the election campaign.

One is enough with the portrait of Serge Sargsyan: "My Weapon is My Confidence!"

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